I am not an expert. I have taken courses on epidemiology (the science of studying the characteristics and spread of disease) and infectious diseases, and read extensively about human behavior and historical pandemics like the Spanish Flu of 1918 and the Plague. I am concerned about this new viral threat, and want to help you take precautions for the potential pandemic. Please read to the end.
The Wuhan Coronavirus, now called COVID19, will arrive in the United States, in your state. With a longer incubation period than the common cold or flu—anywhere from 14-24 days—it will travel further, undetected. China is applying a 14-day quarantine to travelers from the infected area of Hubei. But is it enough? Chinese authorities covered up the seriousness of the disease, continuing to hide the origins and epidemiological details of COVID19.
Also, consider that China controls the United Nations and its World Health Organization with political and economic pressure, so COVID19 details issued by WHO are not to be trusted. WHO is effectively a Little Brother mouthpiece for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Without crucial details of the nature and spread of the disease, the U.S. and WHO officials are only guessing at the full extent of the virus, using limited and likely inaccurate information released by Chinese Communist Party government officials. We don’t know enough to assure the public of anything yet.
At least the United States Marines have a plan.
What we know
The incubation period is anywhere from 14-24 days.
A fever is not always present in those infected.
Personal stories from China indicate 100% infection rate and a 33-80% mortality rate. People report everyone in the family getting sick and 1 in 3 or 4 in 5 family members dying. This is much higher than the numbers released by China, in part because health officials are not testing all the dead and hospitals have stopped accepting patients.
A newborn baby was diagnosed with COVID19, possibly infected by her mother during birth (like HIV).
Likely a bioweapon. Indian scientists from the Kusuma School of Biological Sciences published a paper on the odd HIV-like aspects of COVID19. They concluded that the Wuhan Coronavirus was not naturally occurring, as CCP officials claim. (This paper, written by Prashant Pradhan, et al, was pulled in response to protest to the scientists’ findings. But I have included it at the end of the references.)
Wuhan Institute of Virology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Hubei, the center of the COVID19 outbreak, is the only level 4 facility in China that could store and engineer a bioweapon.
China is refusing to test more than a small percentage of the sick and dead for cause.
The CCP threatens people who talk about COVID19 and the on-ground situation on social media with arrest and jail.
The government cannot help you when you need it. FEMA does not have the resources to respond to widespread deaths and infrastructure failure in pandemic proportions, as WHO (yes, I know) projects for COVID19.
What can you do?
Stock up on three months of food, clothing, pet food, and medications—just like disaster preparedness guidelines. Also: canned goods, dried beans, and water purification tablets or devices.
Avoid travelling in airplanes or on cruises.
Avoid high density, close-quarters events such as the Super Bowl and graduation.
Avoid any shots that will weaken your immune system in the next 6-9 months.
Wash your hands often.
Don’t touch your face while you are out, until you wash your hands.
Wash your hands before you eat or stick your fingers in your mouth.
Do not buy anything that has left China in the last 3 months. Objects can act as fomites transmitting virus for weeks after infected contact.
Stock up. Wash your hands. Be healthy. Be safe. And be thankful for every blessed day.
Billings, Molly. “The Influenza Pandemic of 1918.” Updated 2005. https://virus.stanford.edu/uda/.
“Biosafety Level – List of BSL-4 Facilities.” Wikipedia Facilities (Creative Commons). https://www.liquisearch.com/biosafety_level/list_of_bsl-4_facilities.
“Build a Kit.” Ready. https://www.ready.gov/kit.
“Chinese officials have warned the coronavirus incubation period could reach 24 days.” News.com.au. 11 February 2020. https://www.news.com.au/world/asia/chinese-officials-have-warned-the-coronavirus-incubation-period-could-reach-24-days/news-story/384e73b743ec81d8aed657a2594a746e.
“Coronavirus: Newborn becomes youngest person diagnosed with virus.” BBC News. 6 February 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51395655.
Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica. “Black Death: Pandemic, Medieval Europe.” Encyclopaedia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/event/Black-Death.
Gao, Simone. “Coronavirus Epidemic Underestimated?” The Epoch Times. Updated 13 February 2020. https://www.theepochtimes.com/coronavirus-epidemic-underestimated_3233436.html.
Huston, Warner Todd. “Sources Say China Lying About Extent of Coronavirus, 5 Times More People Infected.” The Washington Sentinel. 3 February 2020. https://thewashingtonsentinel.com/sources-say-china-lying-about-extent-of-coronavirus-5-times-more-people-infected/.
Pradhan, Prashant, et al. “Uncanny similarity of unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag.” bioRxiv. 1 January 2020. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1.full.pdf+html.
“U.S. MARINE CORPS DISEASE CONTAINMENT PREPAREDNESS PLANNING GUIDANCE FOR 2019 NOVEL CORONAVIRUS.” Marines. Date Signed: 2/12/2020 | MARADMINS Number: 082/20. https://www.marines.mil/News/Messages/Messages-Display/Article/2081806/us-marine-corps-disease-containment-preparedness-planning-guidance-for-2019-nov/.
You, Tracy. “Incubation period of new coronavirus can be as long as 24 DAYS instead of previously thought two weeks, study reveals.” Daily Mail. 10 February 2020. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7986663/Incubation-period-new-coronavirus-long-24-DAYS-expert-claims.html.
In addition, other recent studies have linked the 2019-nCoV to SARS CoV. We therefore compared the spike glycoprotein sequences of the 2019-nCoV to that of the SARS CoV (NCBI Accession number: AY390556.1). On careful examination of the sequence alignment we found that the 2019- nCoV spike glycoprotein contains 4 insertions [Fig.2]. To further investigate if these inserts are present in any other corona virus, we performed a multiple sequence alignment of the spike glycoprotein amino acid sequences of all available coronaviruses (n=55) [refer Table S.File1] in NCBI refseq (ncbi.nlm.nih.gov) this includes one sequence of 2019-nCoV[Fig.S1]. We found that these 4 insertions [inserts 1, 2, 3 and 4] are unique to 2019-nCoV and are not present in other coronaviruses analyzed. Another group from China had documented three insertions comparing fewer spike glycoprotein sequences of coronaviruses . Another group from China had documented three insertions comparing fewer spike glycoprotein sequences of coronaviruses (Zhou et al., 2020).
We then translated the aligned genome and found that these inserts are present in all Wuhan 2019-nCoV viruses except the 2019-nCoV virus of Bat as a host [Fig.S4]. Intrigued by the 4 highly conserved inserts unique to 2019-nCoV we wanted to understand their origin. For this purpose, we used the 2019-nCoV local alignment with each insert as query against all virus genomes and considered hits with 100% sequence coverage. Surprisingly, each of the four inserts aligned with short segments of the Human immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV-1) proteins. The amino acid positions of the inserts in 2019-nCoV and the corresponding residues in HIV-1 gp120 and HIV-1 Gag are shown in Table 1.
The first 3 inserts (insert 1,2 and 3) aligned to short segments of amino acid residues in HIV-1 gp120. The insert 4 aligned to HIV-1 Gag. The insert 1 (6 amino acid residues) and insert 2 (6 amino acid residues) in the spike glycoprotein of 2019-nCoV are 100% identical to the residues mapped to HIV-1 gp120. The insert 3 (12 amino acid residues) in 2019- nCoV maps to HIV-1 gp120 with gaps [see Table 1]. The insert 4 (8 amino acid residues) maps to HIV-1 Gag with gaps.
Featured image by Dr. Fred Murphy & Sylvia Whitfield/CDC.